Arthur Hayes, BitMEX co-founder and Maelstrom CIO, contends the crypto market stays in a “no-trade zone” on account of two developments. Hayes additionally shares situations for Bitcoin hitting $80,000-$90,000, gold costs, and investing in Hyperliquid’s HYPE token.
Arthur Hayes Says Two Factors Impacting the Crypto Market Heavily
In a brand new article on April 16, Arthur Hayes stated Maelstrom’s buying and selling went quiet in the primary quarter and solely elevated its lengthy place in Hyperliquid. He claims two developments mixed to supply a buying and selling lifeless zone, constructing strain on Bitcoin.
He warns that agentic AI or claws will destroy careers in “flexible-labor advanced Western economies” and can trigger a deflationary monetary collapse. Another issue preserving the crypto market in a “no-trade zone” is Trump taking the US and Israel into battle in opposition to Iran and management of the Strait of Hormuz.
“I don’t know shit about war fighting or have any insider knowledge about what global leaders will or won’t do. But I can read the dominant propaganda narratives and employ my AI agents to conduct simple maths using publicly available information.”
Meanwhile, ceasefire talks proceed, with the US and Iran weighing a truce. The Strait of Hormuz stays closed as Trump supplied combined alerts on extending the ceasefire and a possible peace deal.
Arthur Hayes Cautious Outlook on Bitcoin
Arthur Hayes stated he stays bullish on Bitcoin total, however will not be dashing so as to add extra at present ranges amid AI and US-Iran battle jitters. AI agentic deflationary strain is in severity with the 2008 US subprime mortgage disaster.
He presents three situations that might have an effect on BTC worth. First, the US-Iran battle ends, restoring the pre-war establishment. However, AI brokers will proceed to influence the labor market, making a shopper spending disaster. The Fed must print cash to stop banks from changing into bancrupt and the crypto market from crashing.
In the second state of affairs, the US navy fails to cease Iran’s management over the Strait of Hormuz. Iran would permit pleasant ships to transit with charges in Chinese yuan, crypto, sanctioned {dollars}, or different diplomatic preparations. This would set off US greenback selloffs by central banks once more to fulfill oil demand, creating strain on Bitcoin, bonds, and inventory costs.
Third, Trump extends Hormuz’s blockade and destroys Iran with its navy energy. However, Iran will goal the Gulf area’s commodity and vitality manufacturing. The US Federal Reserve and world central banks don’t have any alternative however to print cash to save lots of the worldwide monetary system.
Arthur Hayes claims BTC worth may spike to $80,000 to $90,000. However, he won’t purchase Bitcoin till the Fed offers liquidity as banks’ steadiness sheets are dealing with extreme shopper credit score defaults.
Suggests Buying Gold and Hyperliquid’s HYPE Token
Bitcoin recorded slight outperformance over IGV US over the previous few days. Arthur Hayes claims it should immediate him to reevaluate his bearish stance on Bitcoin worth and present crypto market dynamics.
As CoinGape predicted earlier, BTC price jumped greater than 7% in per week to commerce above $75,000. The 24-hour high and low are $73,549 and $75,409, respectively. However, buying and selling quantity has tumbled by 25% during the last 24 hours.
Arthur Hayes is barely comfy investing in gold and HYPE token in the mean time. He added that Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 launch in just a few weeks will set off a massive rally in HYPE price. He predicts Hyperliquid will take vital market share from Polymarket and Kalshi in the prediction markets trade.
HYPE worth is eighteen% up in per week, presently buying and selling at $45.31. Whereas gold worth is buying and selling virtually 1% increased at round $4,830 at the moment.
Also Read: New Cryptocurrencies To Invest In April 2026
