Crypto merchants are growing their bets that Bitcoin’s worth will hit $100,000 earlier than the yr ends. This follows BTC’s reclaim of the psychological $90,000 stage, with optimism that the Fed will decrease charges at subsequent month’s FOMC assembly.
Odds Of Bitcoin Hitting $100k Rise To 52%
Polymarket data exhibits a 52% probability that BTC will hit $100,000 earlier than the yr ends. The odds have elevated by over 17% amid the flagship crypto’s current surge above $90,000.
Bitcoin had dropped beneath $100,000 earlier this month for the primary time since June, sparking considerations of a bear market. BTC dropped to as little as $81,000 however has since recovered amid optimism of one other charge lower in December.
As CoinGape reported, the percentages of a December Fed rate cut have climbed to 85%, after dropping to as little as 30% final week. The surge within the rate-cut odds adopted Fed President John Williams’ remarks, which signaled his help for one more near-term lower.
Meanwhile, the PPI inflation report additionally strengthened the case for one more lower, because it indicated that the softening labor market is a higher concern than rising inflation. Furthermore, as a part of the dovish Fed pivot, the U.S. central financial institution plans to finish quantitative tightening (QT) on December 1, which might pave the best way to quantitative easing (QE).
This offers a bullish outlook for Bitcoin and different threat belongings as extra liquidity might move into them. Ark Invest’s CEO, Cathie Wood, just lately acknowledged that they count on the liquidity squeeze to finish inside a month, alluding to the Fed’s dovish pivot.
Tom Lee Predicts Year-End Rally Above $100k
During an interview on CNBC’s Closing Bell, BitMine’s Chairman, Tom Lee, acknowledged that Bitcoin is more likely to be above $100,000 by year-end. He additionally raised the likelihood that the flagship crypto might attain new highs above $126,000 earlier than the yr ends.
Tom Lee famous that BTC’s price strikes in simply 10 days out of the yr. “I think some of those best days are still going to happen before the year ends,” he added. The BitMine chairman additionally opined that the crypto market is close to a backside.
He alluded to the ’10/10′ crypto crash and the way that worn out leveraged positions. Tom Lee additional famous that one thing comparable occurred in 2022 and that it took about 8 weeks for the market to get well. With the same timeline in thoughts, he expects the market to begin recovering.
Meanwhile, market skilled Tomas alluded to the weakening greenback index, which he famous is nice for threat belongings like shares and Bitcoin. The skilled remarked that there have been two bearish components for the greenback, together with the emergence of dovish Kevin Hassett because the clear favourite for the Fed chair function. The different issue is the surge within the odds of a 25 foundation factors (bps) December charge lower to over 85%.
The greenback has weakened over the previous week or so, which is nice new for threat belongings like shares and bitcoin.
We’ve had two bearish greenback components – ultra-dove Hassett rising as clear favourite for Fed Chair, and December charge cuts odds flipping wildly from lower than 35% to extra… https://t.co/F49M3pjhpq pic.twitter.com/58MfWBWDf6
— Tomas (@TomasOnMarkets) November 27, 2025
