Reason to belief
Strict editorial coverage that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by business consultants and meticulously reviewed
The highest requirements in reporting and publishing
Strict editorial coverage that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.
As Bitcoin (BTC) enters the third quarter (Q3) of 2025, bullish sentiment is rising, fueled by historic post-halving patterns which have repeatedly marked the start of explosive market moves. A crypto analyst now factors to recurring traits noticed in previous cycles, the place Q3 has usually acted as a launchpad for important value rallies in BTC following every halving 12 months.
Bitcoin Post-Halving Years Point To Explosive Q3
Luca, a crypto market professional on X (previously Twitter), has doubled down on expectations for a significant Bitcoin value rally within the coming quarter. He argues that expectations of an prolonged consolidation in Bitcoin, based mostly on the fractals and market habits seen in 2023 and early 2024, fail to account for a important issue: 2025 is a post-halving year.
Related Reading
The analyst points to a constant sample noticed in each post-halving 12 months all through Bitcoin’s history. In his chart evaluation revealed on June 26, Luca notes that Q3 in these years have persistently demonstrated power, with no historic precedent for weak point, reinforcing the case for a bullish breakout.
The chart compares Q3 efficiency throughout the post-halving years of 2013, 2017, and 2021. In every case, Bitcoin entered the third quarter with average or corrective value motion, solely to rally considerably within the weeks that adopted.
The left panel of the chart reveals the 2013 post-halving 12 months, the place Bitcoin went from beneath $100 in July to over $680 in November. In 2017, the center panel highlighted an analogous trajectory, the place BTC broke out from beneath $2,800 in early Q3 to over $16,000 by year-end.
The most up-to-date cycle in 2021, proven in the correct panel of the chart, noticed a Q3 restoration rally that took Bitcoin from beneath $39,000 in July to a former all-time high above $69,000 in November.
Notably, Luca maintains that this constant historic habits shouldn’t be coincidental, predicting {that a} related rally might unfold within the present cycle, inside the subsequent few months. While he acknowledges the possibility of a short-term pullback, he emphasizes that Bitcoin’s broader market construction stays firmly bullish, with momentum nonetheless favoring additional upside.
Analyst Predicts $140,000 – $160,000 Bitcoin Cycle Top
Moving ahead, Luca’s chart reveals technical elements that align along with his bullish thesis. Based on key Fibonacci Extension ranges, the analyst projects that BTC’s next cycle top falls between $140,000 and $160,000, a goal he believes may very well be attained towards the top of Q3.
Related Reading
While acknowledging that the precise goal might shift relying on how technical confluences evolve, the expectation stays {that a} Bitcoin rally is imminent. With BTC now buying and selling round $107,423 after rebounding from a earlier dip below $100,000, a possible transfer to $140,000 and even $160,000 would mark a considerable acquire of roughly 30.35% and 48.97%, respectively.
Featured picture from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
