{"id":90380,"date":"2026-02-11T21:45:45","date_gmt":"2026-02-11T21:45:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/11\/u-s-government-shutdown-odds-hit-84-will-bitcoin-crash-again\/"},"modified":"2026-02-11T21:45:46","modified_gmt":"2026-02-11T21:45:46","slug":"u-s-government-shutdown-odds-hit-84-will-bitcoin-crash-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/11\/u-s-government-shutdown-odds-hit-84-will-bitcoin-crash-again\/","title":{"rendered":"U.S. Government Shutdown Odds Hit 84%, Will Bitcoin Crash Again?"},"content":{"rendered":"


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The odds of a U.S. authorities shutdown earlier than February 14 proceed surging. The spikes come as Bitcoin and broader crypto markets proceed to slip, with complete market cap falling 1.8% to $2.3 trillion. Meanwhile, the Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 9 from 10, including to issues Bitcoin might fall once more after dipping under $70,000 over the past partial shutdown.<\/span><\/p>\n

U.S. Government Shutdown Odds Jump as Funding Deadline Nears<\/b><\/h2>\n

On the prediction market<\/a> platform Polymarket, merchants at the moment are pricing an 84% chance of a U.S. authorities shutdown earlier than February 14. The odds have climbed sharply, rising by 66% in latest days, as fiscal tensions improve.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"\"\"Source: Polymarket<\/a><\/p>\n

Notably, the shutdown fears are tied on to expiring federal funding. The market has grown extra pessimistic that lawmakers can finalize a deal earlier than the deadline. As a end result, expectations for a short-term funding invoice stay low.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Polymarket knowledge suggests merchants see little probability Congress will move a invoice this week. This uncertainty has coincided with a broader market sell-off. Bitcoin has remained underneath strain as danger sentiment weakens throughout digital belongings.<\/span><\/p>\n

Analysts\u2019 Views as Bitcoin Holds Near Key Levels<\/b><\/h2>\n

Analysts on X have outlined their views for Bitcoin because the broader crypto market stays underneath strain. One analyst on X, <\/span>The Hunter<\/span><\/a>, warned that the present dip might deepen, pointing to BTC close to $67,000, Ethereum at $1,950, and Solana at $81.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The analyst additionally argued Bitcoin might preserve falling and probably break under $50,000 if promoting strain continues. However, Axel Bitblaze supplied a much less aggressive draw back view, evaluating Bitcoin\u2019s present construction to 2024 earlier than a serious upside transfer.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

He stated BTC could stay caught in a large $60,000 to $80,000 vary for a while, with transient rallies adopted by sharp pullbacks. Bitblaze additionally recommended the market might see uneven situations that frustrate each bulls and bears, reasonably than a fast rebound.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

While he doesn’t anticipate a clear V-shaped restoration, he additionally dismissed the thought of Bitcoin dropping to $50,000, describing the transfer as a substitute as a sluggish grind that wears out merchants earlier than a base types.<\/span><\/p>\n

RSI Near Oversold as MACD Stays Deeply Negative<\/b><\/h2>\n

While shutdown odds proceed rising, Bitcoin\u2019s technical construction stays weak. The broader development turned bearish after rejection close to the $100,000 to $95,000 area earlier in 2026. <\/span>BTC\u2019s price<\/span><\/a> additionally broke under the prior consolidation zone round $85,000 to $90,000.\u00a0 That breakdown accelerated the decline towards the $60,000 to $70,000 assist vary.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"\"\"Source: TradingView<\/a><\/p>\n

The RSI is at 30.54, whereas its sign line is close to 28.79. Notably, this locations momentum close to the oversold degree, which might increase possibilities of a short-term bounce. However, the MACD is deeply destructive at round -5,774.60 and -4,954.66.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The histogram is close to -819.94, indicating sturdy bearish momentum regardless of slight contraction. Key assist is at $65,700, adopted by the psychological $60,000 degree. Resistance has shifted decrease, now close to $70,000 to $72,000.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n


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Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The odds of a U.S. authorities shutdown earlier than February 14 proceed surging. The spikes come as Bitcoin and broader crypto markets proceed to slip, with complete market cap falling 1.8% to $2.3 trillion. Meanwhile, the Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 9 from 10, including to issues Bitcoin might fall once more after […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":90382,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[20,167,4165,1080,4426,561,5856],"class_list":{"0":"post-90380","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bitcoin","8":"tag-bitcoin","9":"tag-crash","10":"tag-government","11":"tag-hit","12":"tag-odds","13":"tag-shutdown","14":"tag-u-s"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90380","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=90380"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90380\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":90381,"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90380\/revisions\/90381"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/90382"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=90380"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=90380"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=90380"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}