{"id":83852,"date":"2025-11-03T14:07:49","date_gmt":"2025-11-03T14:07:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/2025\/11\/03\/analyst-says-bitcoin-price-is-following-2022-playbook-but-in-reverse-heres-how\/"},"modified":"2025-11-03T14:07:50","modified_gmt":"2025-11-03T14:07:50","slug":"analyst-says-bitcoin-price-is-following-2022-playbook-but-in-reverse-heres-how","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/2025\/11\/03\/analyst-says-bitcoin-price-is-following-2022-playbook-but-in-reverse-heres-how\/","title":{"rendered":"Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Is Following 2022 Playbook, But In Reverse; Here\u2019s How"},"content":{"rendered":"


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Trusted Editorial<\/u> content material, reviewed by main trade specialists and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure<\/a><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Crypto analyst Cristian Chifoi says the <\/span>Bitcoin price action<\/span><\/a> is repeating 2022 cycle patterns, however solely in reverse. Back then, the US <\/span>Federal Reserve (FED)<\/span><\/a> price hikes triggered a staggering 63% crash within the BTC value. Now with the FED getting ready to finish Quantitative Tightening (QT), Chifoi believes the identical macro setup might push costs in the wrong way, doubtlessly marking the beginning of Bitcoin\u2019s subsequent main rally.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Bitcoin Price Traces 2022 Cycle Pattern In Reverse<\/h2>\n

Chifoi <\/span>explained<\/span><\/a> on X social media on November 2 that Bitcoin\u2019s behaviour seems to be replaying the 2022 <\/span>macroeconomic environment<\/span><\/a> in reverse. Back in March 2022, he famous that when the FED first introduced aggressive price hikes, the Bitcoin value was trending close to $46,000. As the US central financial institution delivered its preliminary two hikes of fifty and 75 foundation factors by June that 12 months, <\/span>BTC collapsed<\/span><\/a> to $17,000, marking the technical backside of that cycle.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

As the FED continued to hike from a complete of 175 to 550 bps, the market had already absorbed the shock. Chifoi revealed that Bitcoin had entered its<\/span> accumulation phase<\/span><\/a> and commenced to reverse upward at the same time as different market specialists labeled the central financial institution\u2019s actions \u201cirresponsible\u201d and belated.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Fast ahead to the current, Chifoi believes that the cycle is now flipping. With the FED lately <\/span>announcing the end of Quantitative Tightening<\/span><\/a> by December, he predicts that the following three-month window might set off a robust bullish surge that would <\/span>drive Bitcoin to a top<\/span><\/a> somewhat than a backside.<\/span><\/p>\n

He factors to late December by way of January 20, 2026, as the important thing interval to look at, suggesting that the crypto market might rally sharply earlier than getting into a cooling section as liquidity absolutely returns.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Liquidity Spikes And Repo Signals Support Thesis<\/h2>\n

Supporting his evaluation, Chifoi <\/span>referenced<\/span><\/a> a publish made by one other analyst generally known as \u2018ChurchOfTheCycle,\u2019 who shared a telling FRED chart exhibiting a surge in <\/span>Overnight Repurchase Agreements<\/span><\/a>\u2014Treasury securities quickly bought by the FED in open market operations.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The chart, which spans from 2000 to 2025, highlights a sudden and substantial spike in repo exercise, suggesting potential liquidity injections into the monetary system. The analyst famous that this spike alone doesn’t assure a <\/span>market crash<\/span><\/a>, as traditionally such will increase have usually offered a short-term increase for equities and crypto.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Source: FRED<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

He additional famous that the FED\u2019s latest actions point out stress within the monetary system and an <\/span>early stage of liquidity support<\/span><\/a>, which might push speculative property larger.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Source: X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Based on this, the analyst predicts that the market might nonetheless <\/span>enter a parabolic phase<\/span><\/a> from This fall 2025 to Q1 2026 earlier than dealing with a serious crash in 2026, roughly 6-12 months from the time of his publish on November 2. As a precaution, he warns merchants to watch credit score spreads, repo exercise ranges, and VIX correlation for early indicators of tightening liquidity.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
BTC strikes under $108,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Featured picture created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com<\/p>\n

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Editorial Process<\/strong> for bitcoinist is centered on delivering totally researched, correct, and unbiased content material. We uphold strict sourcing requirements, and every web page undergoes diligent evaluate by our staff of high know-how specialists and seasoned editors. This course of ensures the integrity, relevance, and worth of our content material for our readers.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n


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Trusted Editorial content material, reviewed by main trade specialists and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure Crypto analyst Cristian Chifoi says the Bitcoin price action is repeating 2022 cycle patterns, however solely in reverse. Back then, the US Federal Reserve (FED) price hikes triggered a staggering 63% crash within the BTC value. Now with the FED getting […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":49687,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[634,20,168,7532,110,1034],"class_list":{"0":"post-83852","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bitcoin","8":"tag-analyst","9":"tag-bitcoin","10":"tag-heres","11":"tag-playbook","12":"tag-price","13":"tag-reverse"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83852","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=83852"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83852\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":83853,"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83852\/revisions\/83853"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49687"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=83852"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=83852"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/freakcryptos.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=83852"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}