A well-known American economist steered a relationship between gold, NASDAQ and Bitcoin, saying {that a} decline in NASDAQ normally results in a lower in Bitcoin.
Peter Schiff defined in a submit the correlation between the state of Bitcoin and the market state of affairs of NASDAQ, including that there’s a unfavorable relationship between gold and NASDAQ.
NASDAQ-Bitcoin Connection
Schiff, a famend Bitcoin skeptic, instructed his followers on X that the bearish condition of the monetary market would possibly affect the value motion of the flagship crypto, saying that if NASDAQ goes down, Bitcoin follows.
The economist stated that at the moment, NASDAQ is down 12%, and will have an effect on Bitcoin. “If this correction turns out to be a bear market, and the correlation where a 12% decline in the NASDAQ equates to a 24% decline in Bitcoin holds, when the NASDAQ is down 20%, Bitcoin will be about $65K,” he added.
The NASDAQ is down 12%. If this correction seems to be a bear market, and the correlation the place a 12% decline within the NASDAQ equates to a 24% decline in Bitcoin holds, when the NASDAQ is down 20%, Bitcoin will probably be about $65K.
But if the NASDAQ goes right into a bear market, historical past…
— Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) March 16, 2025
However, Schiff argued that when NASDAQ entered a bear market, the decline could be a lot bigger, citing what occurred prior to now.
He defined that after the bursting of the Dot-com bubble, NASDAQ plummeted by almost 80% whereas throughout the 2008 international monetary disaster, it dropped by 55%, and, just lately, throughout the pandemic crash in 2020, NASDAQ went down by round 30%.
“The average of those three bear markets is a 55% decline. If this bear market bottoms with just a 40% decline, that would put Bitcoin at about $20K. However, my bet would be that a drop of that magnitude would accelerate Bitcoin’s collapse to much lower levels,” he added.
Yellow Metal Continues To Shine
Schiff might need a bearish outlook on Bitcoin however supplied a extra optimistic view on gold, saying there’s a unfavorable relationship between NASDAQ and gold.
He stated that for the reason that NASDAQ peaked on December 16, 2023, gold has elevated by 13%, which is an virtually excellent 1-to-1 correlation.
“If that correlation holds too, a 40% drop in the NASDAQ would put gold over $3,800. However, my guess is that if a bear market in stocks coincides with a significant decline in the dollar on foreign exchange markets, gold will rise much higher,” he defined in a submit.
Gold-Bitcoin Comparison
Schiff stated that even when gold had been at $3,800 gold and Bitcoin was at $20,000, by way of gold, the firstborn crypto would lower by 85%, including that it will extra probably finish the comparability that Bitcoin is a retailer of worth just like gold.
“There will clearly be no justification for the US government or any state government to keep any Bitcoin in a Strategic Reserve. There will also be no reason for ETF investors to keep holding their positions either. With all that selling, it will be impossible for $MSTR to sell enough Bitcoin to avoid bankruptcy,” he stated.
As of writing, Bitcoin is traded at $82,433 with a market cap of over $1.6 trillion.
Featured picture from Pexels, chart from TradingView
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