The current downturn that has swept across the entire crypto market has pushed meme coin PEPE into oversold territory, in keeping with the Relative Strength Index indicator. Notably, that is solely the third time PEPE has reached the oversold ranges in its historical past, notably on the day by day candlestick timeframe.
Historical knowledge exhibits that within the earlier two situations, PEPE’s value motion adopted a particular sample, resulting in a robust restoration after a interval of consolidation. As such, the recent PEPE price crash may be step one earlier than an incoming bull value motion.
PEPE Oversold Condition Is A Rare Market Event: What Happened The Last Two Times?
PEPE hasn’t had a lot historical past to go by, because it is without doubt one of the youngest meme cash with a big market cap. However, over the previous 12 months and a half since its launch, PEPE has not often dipped into oversold territory on the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This makes its present oversold standing a big occasion in technical evaluation, because it has solely occurred twice earlier than. An oversold condition is when the promoting stress on a crypto turns into an excessive amount of in a brief interval, which causes the RSI indicator to fall under 30.
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In each earlier situations the place PEPE turned oversold, the value entered a consolidation part lasting roughly one month earlier than rebounding with a robust uptrend. This sample is clear in a PEPE day by day candlestick chart shared on social media platform X by crypto analyst Obi (@obi_eths), which illustrated the meme coin’s historic response to oversold situations.
As proven by the chart under, the primary time the meme coin turned oversold was in September 2023, 4 months after its launch. Notably, the oversold situation was adopted by 31 days of consolidation earlier than PEPE finally shot as much as new all-time highs within the weeks after.
The same pattern occurred in August 2024, when PEPE entered into an oversold situation for the second time. This was adopted by one other 31 days of consolidation up till September 6, when one other uptrend started.
Accumulation Phase? What To Expect Next
With PEPE now getting into one other oversold situation, historic patterns recommend that the meme coin may remain in a consolidation phase for at the least the following month. If previous developments repeat, this era may function an accumulation window for traders who’re prepared to train persistence and place themselves forward of a possible rally.
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The timeline for this anticipated surge ought to start on March 10, which is precisely 31 days after PEPE entered the current oversold situation. From right here, the meme coin may try and mirror its previous rebounds by staging an prolonged transfer that would push its value past its present all-time excessive of $0.00002803, which was recorded on December 9, 2024.
At the time of writing, PEPE is buying and selling at $0.000009544, 65.8% under this all-time excessive.
Featured picture from Shutterstock, chart from Tradingview.com
