In a thread on X as we speak, January 20, Dennis Liu (@VirtualBacon0x), a basic associate at Momentum 6, laid out a daring forecast for Ethereum (ETH), suggesting the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency might attain a worth goal of $14,000 by the tip of 2025. Liu additionally contends that the subsequent six months can be pivotal, highlighting ETH’s potential to “dominate the market” via June.
“Ethereum is about to dominate the market, you don’t want to miss this window,” Liu wrote. “Ethereum has been lagging behind Bitcoin this cycle, but that’s about to change. I believe ETH will shine in the next 6 months.”
Why Ethereum Could Outperform The Market
Despite ETH’s rising adoption, Liu argues that its underperformance relative to Bitcoin stems from “institutional timing.” According to him: “ETH is institutionally driven, unlike Bitcoin or retail-favored altcoins. ETFs provide stability and utility, making ETH ideal for institutional investors.” Liu suggests establishments have been ready for market situations to enhance and sees 2025 because the yr when these situations lastly align.
Liu additionally factors to the US Federal Reserve’s coverage shifts as a catalyst for ETH’s progress. He notes that since May 2024, the Fed has been slowing its steadiness sheet reductions, and a doable pivot towards renewed liquidity injections might happen after the January 29 or March 19 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) conferences.
“Since May 2024, the Fed has slowed balance sheet reductions, signaling a pivot. A liquidity boost could follow Jan 29 or Mar 19 FOMC meetings. Why it matters: Fed liquidity pumps historically drive ETH/BTC higher.” He concludes that such a transfer by the Fed “means ETH outperformance” could possibly be on the horizon.
Citing a decade of market information, Liu claims ETH usually outperforms Bitcoin from January to June, whereas Bitcoin tends to steer from July to December. “From January to June, ETH consistently outperforms Bitcoin. … If you’re holding ETH, now until June is historically the best window for gains.”
Liu additionally highlights potential pro-ETH sentiments from the Trump administration, referencing the previous president’s NFT collections and DeFi platform constructed on Ethereum: (*6*) He concludes that “pro-crypto policies will directly benefit Ethereum-focused DeFi.”
Further emphasizing Ethereum’s institutional energy, Liu factors to real-world asset (RWA) tokenization initiatives by main corporations like BlackRock and outstanding DeFi platforms corresponding to AAVE, MakerDAO, and OriginTrail: “Ethereum isn’t leading meme coin or AI trends – it’s powering serious institutional growth.”
Liu underscores a notable shift in Ethereum ETF inflows, which turned optimistic in November 2024 after a interval of outflows: “ETFs added $6B in net inflows from Nov to Jan, or 0.76% of ETH supply/month. … Institutions are buying more ETH than BTC monthly, signaling growing confidence in Ethereum as an asset.”
Projecting out to 2025, Liu believes ETH might quadruple to $14,000 if Bitcoin doubles to $200,000, citing Ethereum’s historic tendency to outperform Bitcoin by a further issue of two: “If Bitcoin doubles to $200K, ETH could 4x to $14K, following its historical outperformance (2x on top of BTC). … While diminishing returns may limit upside, ETH remains a high-conviction bet for this cycle.”
Summarizing his perspective, Liu stresses {that a} confluence of things—from renewed Fed liquidity to potential pro-DeFi insurance policies—creates a near-term window of alternative for Ethereum: “With ETF inflows rising, the Fed’s potential liquidity injection, Trump’s pro-DeFi stance, and ETH’s seasonal strength, all the catalysts are aligned. … Ethereum’s time to shine is now until June. I’d rather be overexposed than miss this opportunity.”
At press time, ETH traded at $106,929.
Featured picture created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
