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Ethereum is altering arms close to $2,600 in noon European buying and selling on 3 June, trimming minor in a single day positive aspects however nonetheless holding a six-week up-trend that started in late April.
In a brand new video evaluation, technical strategist Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) argues that the worth plateau masks a structural shift now seen on each main Ethereum chart. “I’m seeing things that are so historical that I had to make a video about it—it just cannot be ignored,” he advised viewers on the outset.
Ethereum Flashes Bullish Setup Not Seen Since 2020
On the month-to-month ETH-USD chart, Kevin begins by zooming out to the month-to-month ETH-USD chart. The value, he reminds viewers, has “done nothing but trade in a massive range” ever since April 2021, masking the type of compression that always precedes violent enlargement. The tell-tale flip, in his view, got here this April when Ethereum depraved into the $1,400 space solely to reverse and shut with a candle he labels a “massive demand candle.”
That sample, he notes, has appeared solely twice earlier than on a month-to-month ETH chart—every time after a serious correction and every time adopted by sustained upside. The May candle delivered affirmation: a 41% physique that lifted value again above the long-term super-trend, an space many technicians had already written off as “guaranteed to break.”
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What makes the construction “so historical,” Kevin argues, is the alignment of high-momentum indicators that hardly ever hearth collectively. The month-to-month stochastic RSI is about to execute what he calls a “V-shaped cross” out of oversold territory; the final clear cross marked the 2020 macro backside.
The MACD histogram, in the meantime, has been compressing into what he likens to a symmetrical triangle that has taken 4 years to finish, signalling “coiled energy” that may solely resolve in a big directional transfer. Even on-chain money-flow readings, he says, are “tied for the lowest level in history—but already reversing,” implying that deep-pocketed holders have begun to build up whereas retail sentiment stays subdued.
Kevin then pivots to the dominance metrics that, in his framework, dictate whether or not a transfer in Ethereum can spill over into the broader altcoin market. On Ethereum-dominance he pulls up Heikin-Ashi candles to indicate the primary inexperienced print in additional than a 12 months precisely on the zone that fashioned the 2019–20 base. “We’re at the same spot ETH dominance bottomed in 2019,” he says, pointing to a sequence of demand candles that mirror the pre-bull-run sample of the final cycle.
A Market Cipher purchase sign has simply appeared, the VWAP has crossed the zero line, and cash circulate is curling up from all-time-low depths. In Kevin’s view, the implication is evident: “Whales are starting to accumulate, and nobody is paying attention.”
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The ETH/BTC ratio completes the trifecta. Here Kevin reveals the pair tagging the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement of your complete 2020-21 advance, printing its personal demand candles and flipping inexperienced on the Heikin-Ashi readout. More hanging to him is the month-to-month stochastic RSI, which has spent 1,066 days—nearly three full years—beneath the 20 threshold that historically marks bear-market exhaustion. “It’s game time,” he declares. “This thing is getting ready to cross back up, and the negativity on ETH is happening right under everyone’s nose.”
Underlying the technical case is a macro backdrop Kevin believes is changing into incrementally supportive. “You don’t actually need the Fed to cut,” he tells viewers. “We just need guidance—looser policy on the horizon, decent inflation prints—and Ethereum will do the rest.”
Historically, he argues, a decisive rotation in ETH has been the set off for what he calls “durable altcoin outperformance,” as a result of it indicators that threat capital is migrating down the market-cap spectrum. In that sense, a real Ethereum breakout is much less a single-asset story than a sign for a complete sector.
Sceptics will be aware that Ethereum nonetheless faces heavy resistance within the $2,800–3,000 zone and that earlier rallies have stalled at that ceiling. Kevin concedes the extent is essential however insists the load of month-to-month indicators makes a sustained breach more and more doubtless. “These are monthly timeframes,” he cautions. “They don’t play out overnight, but the evidence says the multi-year bear market in ETH-BTC is ending.”
At press time, ETH traded at $2,607.

Featured picture created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com